TSM Expected Move
TSM $424.37 · Updated Oct 26, 4:00 PM ET
The options market prices TSM to move about $15.23 (3.6%) by Oct 30, 2026, a range of $409.15 to $439.60. For Nov 27, 2026 (32 days out) the expected move is $34.15 (8.0%).
EXPECTED MOVE BY EXPIRATION
| Expiration | DTE | Straddle | IV (1 sd) | Low | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 4 | $15.23 | $19.01 | $409.15 | $439.60 |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 11 | $22.35 | $28.46 | $402.02 | $446.72 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 18 | $27.15 | $35.83 | $397.22 | $451.52 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 25 | $32.33 | $41.59 | $392.05 | $456.70 |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 32 | $34.15 | $45.39 | $390.22 | $458.52 |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 39 | $37.68 | $49.74 | $386.70 | $462.05 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 53 | $44.53 | $57.41 | $379.85 | $468.90 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 81 | $57.70 | $75.10 | $366.67 | $482.07 |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 116 | $67.83 | $88.31 | $356.55 | $492.20 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 144 | $76.03 | $98.86 | $348.35 | $500.40 |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 172 | $84.50 | $109.48 | $339.87 | $508.87 |
How this is calculated: Expected Move methodology · Expected move calculator