MRNA Expected Move
MRNA $195.99 · Updated Oct 26, 4:00 PM ET
The options market prices MRNA to move about $16.30 (8.3%) by Oct 30, 2026, a range of $179.69 to $212.29. For Nov 27, 2026 (32 days out) the expected move is $38.93 (19.9%).
EXPECTED MOVE BY EXPIRATION
| Expiration | DTE | Straddle | IV (1 sd) | Low | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | 4 | $16.30 | $19.07 | $179.69 | $212.29 |
| Nov 6, 2026 | 11 | $27.90 | $34.01 | $168.09 | $223.89 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 18 | $31.88 | $39.14 | $164.12 | $227.87 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 25 | $35.50 | $43.92 | $160.49 | $231.49 |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 32 | $38.93 | $48.28 | $157.07 | $234.92 |
| Dec 4, 2026 | 39 | $42.50 | $52.77 | $153.49 | $238.49 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 53 | $47.72 | $59.42 | $148.27 | $243.72 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 81 | $58.25 | $72.85 | $137.74 | $254.24 |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 116 | $71.00 | $89.29 | $124.99 | $266.99 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 144 | $78.63 | $99.24 | $117.37 | $274.62 |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 172 | $85.23 | $107.92 | $110.77 | $281.22 |
How this is calculated: Expected Move methodology · Expected move calculator